Le Mans vs Toulouse: prediction, stats and lineups
Ligue 1 · Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:45
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.1% |
| Both teams to score | 60.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected corners | 8.9 |
Our model makes Le Mans 33.6% to win, with the draw at 26.5% and Toulouse at 40.0%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 59.4%, and both teams to score at 60.6%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.
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