AC Milan vs Atalanta: prediction, stats and lineups

Serie A · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 17:00

50.6%
AC Milan win
25.1%
Draw
24.3%
Atalanta win
Over 1.5 goals78.8%
Over 2.5 goals54.9%
Over 3.5 goals32.5%
Both teams to score55.9%
Most likely score1-1 (10.0%)
Expected corners9

Our model makes AC Milan 50.6% to win, with the draw at 25.1% and Atalanta at 24.3%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 54.9%, and both teams to score at 55.9%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.

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