AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe: prediction, stats and lineups
FA Cup · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.1% |
| Both teams to score | 55.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected corners | 10.1 |
Our model makes AFC Rushden & Diamonds 53.5% to win, with the draw at 15.6% and Morecambe at 30.8%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 54.5%, and both teams to score at 55.9%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.
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