AS Roma vs Genoa: prediction, stats and lineups
Serie A · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 19:45
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.7% |
| Both teams to score | 48.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.9%) |
| Expected corners | 9.5 |
Our model makes AS Roma 66.1% to win, with the draw at 20.1% and Genoa at 13.8%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 55.1%, and both teams to score at 48.4%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.
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