Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: prediction, stats and lineups

Bundesliga · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:30

53.0%
Bayer Leverkusen win
22.6%
Draw
24.3%
SC Freiburg win
Over 1.5 goals84.9%
Over 2.5 goals65.8%
Over 3.5 goals44.3%
Both teams to score63.1%
Most likely score2-1 (8.8%)
Expected corners10.8

Our model makes Bayer Leverkusen 53.0% to win, with the draw at 22.6% and SC Freiburg at 24.3%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 65.8%, and both teams to score at 63.1%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.

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