Bayern München vs RB Leipzig: prediction, stats and lineups
Bundesliga · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 17:30
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.8% |
| Both teams to score | 64.2% |
| Most likely score | 3-1 (7.0%) |
| Expected corners | 11.3 |
Our model makes Bayern München 75.8% to win, with the draw at 13.5% and RB Leipzig at 10.6%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 69.9%, and both teams to score at 64.2%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.
Confirmed lineups
Confirmed lineups appear about an hour before kick-off, free for everyone, no account needed.
View lineups on the fixture →Anytime goalscorer odds, player form, Model vs Market, six correct scores, half-time / full-time, the corners split and player card risk are part of The Dugout — plus stat builders that work out a combination's real chance rather than multiplying the legs together.
Join The Dugout