Bournemouth vs Sunderland: prediction, stats and lineups

Premier League · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00

45.2%
Bournemouth win
26.2%
Draw
28.6%
Sunderland win
Over 1.5 goals79.4%
Over 2.5 goals55.5%
Over 3.5 goals33.1%
Both teams to score56.9%
Most likely score1-1 (11.0%)
Expected corners10.1

Our model makes Bournemouth 45.2% to win, with the draw at 26.2% and Sunderland at 28.6%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 55.5%, and both teams to score at 56.9%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.

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