Celta Vigo vs Alaves: prediction, stats and lineups
La Liga · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 15:15
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.3% |
| Both teams to score | 48.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (11.7%) |
| Expected corners | 9.1 |
Our model makes Celta Vigo 44.3% to win, with the draw at 28.4% and Alaves at 27.4%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 43.3%, and both teams to score at 48.7%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.
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