Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid: prediction, stats and lineups

La Liga · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:00

21.6%
Espanyol win
24.5%
Draw
53.8%
Atletico Madrid win
Over 1.5 goals79.6%
Over 2.5 goals56.2%
Over 3.5 goals33.8%
Both teams to score54.4%
Most likely score1-1 (10.1%)
Expected corners9.6

Our model makes Espanyol 21.6% to win, with the draw at 24.5% and Atletico Madrid at 53.8%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 56.2%, and both teams to score at 54.4%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.

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