Everton vs Chelsea: prediction, stats and lineups
Premier League · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 12:30
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.9% |
| Both teams to score | 60.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.2%) |
| Expected corners | 9.8 |
Our model makes Everton 32.5% to win, with the draw at 25.6% and Chelsea at 41.9%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 57.3%, and both teams to score at 60.3%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.
Confirmed lineups
Confirmed lineups appear about an hour before kick-off, free for everyone, no account needed.
View lineups on the fixture →Anytime goalscorer odds, player form, Model vs Market, six correct scores, half-time / full-time, the corners split and player card risk are part of The Dugout — plus stat builders that work out a combination's real chance rather than multiplying the legs together.
Join The Dugout