FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction, stats and lineups

Bundesliga · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30

33.0%
FC Schalke 04 win
25.4%
Draw
41.5%
FSV Mainz 05 win
Over 1.5 goals85.6%
Over 2.5 goals66.4%
Over 3.5 goals44.9%
Both teams to score63.6%
Most likely score1-1 (10.0%)
Expected corners9.8

Our model makes FC Schalke 04 33.0% to win, with the draw at 25.4% and FSV Mainz 05 at 41.5%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 66.4%, and both teams to score at 63.6%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.

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