Groningen vs Ajax: prediction, stats and lineups
Eredivisie · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 15:45
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.3% |
| Both teams to score | 67.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.3%) |
| Expected corners | 11.2 |
Our model makes Groningen 26.1% to win, with the draw at 22.3% and Ajax at 51.7%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 68.2%, and both teams to score at 67.6%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.
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