Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction, stats and lineups

Bundesliga · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30

26.5%
Hamburger SV win
23.1%
Draw
50.4%
VfB Stuttgart win
Over 1.5 goals86.7%
Over 2.5 goals69.1%
Over 3.5 goals48.3%
Both teams to score68.3%
Most likely score1-2 (8.4%)
Expected corners10.6

Our model makes Hamburger SV 26.5% to win, with the draw at 23.1% and VfB Stuttgart at 50.4%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 69.1%, and both teams to score at 68.3%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.

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