Kilmarnock vs Motherwell: prediction, stats and lineups

Premiership · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00

29.0%
Kilmarnock win
25.3%
Draw
45.7%
Motherwell win
Over 1.5 goals81.1%
Over 2.5 goals58.2%
Over 3.5 goals35.9%
Both teams to score60.8%
Most likely score1-1 (10.1%)
Expected corners10.2

Our model makes Kilmarnock 29.0% to win, with the draw at 25.3% and Motherwell at 45.7%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 58.2%, and both teams to score at 60.8%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.

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