Lyon vs Nice: prediction, stats and lineups

Ligue 1 · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 19:45

55.9%
Lyon win
23.0%
Draw
21.1%
Nice win
Over 1.5 goals80.7%
Over 2.5 goals58.3%
Over 3.5 goals35.9%
Both teams to score56.2%
Most likely score2-1 (9.4%)
Expected corners10.5

Our model makes Lyon 55.9% to win, with the draw at 23.0% and Nice at 21.1%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 58.3%, and both teams to score at 56.2%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.

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