Malaga vs Real Sociedad: prediction, stats and lineups
La Liga · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 17:30
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.7% |
| Both teams to score | 57.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected corners | 10.4 |
Our model makes Malaga 29.8% to win, with the draw at 26.4% and Real Sociedad at 43.8%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 54.1%, and both teams to score at 57.4%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.
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