Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: prediction, stats and lineups
Championship · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 12:30
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.4% |
| Both teams to score | 63.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8.8%) |
| Expected corners | 11.1 |
Our model makes Middlesbrough 62.6% to win, with the draw at 19.5% and Cardiff at 17.9%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 66.4%, and both teams to score at 63.5%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.
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