NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: prediction, stats and lineups

Eredivisie · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 19:00

57.2%
NEC Nijmegen win
21.2%
Draw
21.5%
Fortuna Sittard win
Over 1.5 goals86.0%
Over 2.5 goals67.5%
Over 3.5 goals46.2%
Both teams to score65.8%
Most likely score2-1 (8.9%)
Expected corners10.3

Our model makes NEC Nijmegen 57.2% to win, with the draw at 21.2% and Fortuna Sittard at 21.5%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 67.5%, and both teams to score at 65.8%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.

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