Port Vale vs Chesterfield: prediction, stats and lineups

League Two · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00

35.4%
Port Vale win
26.9%
Draw
37.6%
Chesterfield win
Over 1.5 goals74.0%
Over 2.5 goals47.7%
Over 3.5 goals25.9%
Both teams to score57.3%
Most likely score1-1 (10.8%)
Expected corners10

Our model makes Port Vale 35.4% to win, with the draw at 26.9% and Chesterfield at 37.6%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 47.7%, and both teams to score at 57.3%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.

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