Southampton vs Bolton: prediction, stats and lineups

Championship · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00

64.4%
Southampton win
19.1%
Draw
16.5%
Bolton win
Over 1.5 goals84.4%
Over 2.5 goals67.3%
Over 3.5 goals46.6%
Both teams to score60.2%
Most likely score2-1 (8.9%)
Expected corners10.3

Our model makes Southampton 64.4% to win, with the draw at 19.1% and Bolton at 16.5%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 67.3%, and both teams to score at 60.2%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.

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