Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: prediction, stats and lineups
Eredivisie · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 20:00
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.0% |
| Both teams to score | 62.3% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8.9%) |
| Expected corners | 11 |
Our model makes Sparta Rotterdam 56.2% to win, with the draw at 22.0% and Willem II at 21.8%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 64.7%, and both teams to score at 62.3%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.
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