Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction, stats and lineups

Ligue 1 · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 16:15

16.5%
Strasbourg win
18.3%
Draw
65.2%
Paris Saint Germain win
Over 1.5 goals84.6%
Over 2.5 goals65.8%
Over 3.5 goals44.4%
Both teams to score63.7%
Most likely score1-2 (8.8%)
Expected corners9.3

Our model makes Strasbourg 16.5% to win, with the draw at 18.3% and Paris Saint Germain at 65.2%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 65.8%, and both teams to score at 63.7%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.

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