Trafford 2-2 Atherton Collieries: result and how our prediction did

FA Cup · Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 15:00

Final score

Trafford 2 - 2 Atherton Collieries

Our model did not call this one correctly.

4 goals in total, and both teams scored. The figures below are the ones we published before kick-off, left exactly as they were.

39.5%
Trafford win
22.7%
Draw
37.8%
Atherton Collieries win
Over 1.5 goals81.0%
Over 2.5 goals57.8%
Over 3.5 goals35.4%
Both teams to score61.5%
Most likely score1-1 (12.1%)
Expected corners10.1

Our model makes Trafford 39.5% to win, with the draw at 22.7% and Atherton Collieries at 37.8%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 57.8%, and both teams to score at 61.5%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.

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