Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction, stats and lineups
Bundesliga · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.2% |
| Both teams to score | 61.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.3%) |
| Expected corners | 10.6 |
Our model makes Union Berlin 21.6% to win, with the draw at 22.1% and Borussia Dortmund at 56.4%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 64.0%, and both teams to score at 61.6%. These figures come from team form, scoring and defensive records, and current bookmaker prices, which carry the heaviest weight. They are rebuilt as kick-off approaches, so a late team-news change is reflected rather than frozen at this morning's numbers.
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